Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.042506 0.048981 0.055732 0.063265 0.071404 0.079906 0.089426
2025-04-20 0.034367 0.044124 0.054946 0.067686 0.082131 0.097866 0.116172
2025-04-27 0.026050 0.037119 0.050117 0.066150 0.085059 0.106348 0.131831
2025-05-04 0.022058 0.034293 0.049340 0.068573 0.091921 0.118824 0.151661
2025-05-11 0.017753 0.030313 0.046518 0.067979 0.094758 0.126286 0.165451
2025-05-18 0.015342 0.028417 0.045985 0.069919 0.100432 0.136947 0.182903
2025-05-25 0.013201 0.026550 0.045214 0.071332 0.105290 0.146526 0.199027
2025-06-01 0.010376 0.023212 0.042072 0.069325 0.105576 0.150334 0.208059
2025-06-08 0.008118 0.020358 0.039285 0.067513 0.105886 0.154000 0.216791
2025-06-15 0.007118 0.019436 0.039197 0.069318 0.110864 0.163492 0.232703
2025-06-22 0.006037 0.018173 0.038454 0.070097 0.114413 0.171145 0.246341
2025-06-29 0.005519 0.017884 0.039175 0.072944 0.120745 0.182381 0.264513
2025-07-06 0.004352 0.016158 0.037593 0.072568 0.122967 0.188733 0.277138
2025-07-13 0.004170 0.016522 0.039506 0.077486 0.132642 0.204989 0.302605
2025-07-20 0.003060 0.014486 0.037157 0.075833 0.133091 0.209146 0.312697
2025-07-27 0.002673 0.014100 0.037626 0.078474 0.139580 0.221292 0.333077
2025-08-03 0.001991 0.012678 0.036068 0.077828 0.141317 0.227090 0.345283
2025-08-10 0.001683 0.012229 0.036262 0.079939 0.147013 0.238205 0.364421
2025-08-17 0.001373 0.011644 0.036127 0.081475 0.151859 0.248184 0.382117
2025-08-24 0.000878 0.010071 0.033827 0.079293 0.151126 0.250512 0.389745
2025-08-31 0.000526 0.008706 0.031748 0.077322 0.150588 0.253027 0.397566
2025-09-07 0.000415 0.008422 0.031971 0.079286 0.155970 0.263709 0.416226
2025-09-14 0.000289 0.007893 0.031576 0.080132 0.159643 0.272035 0.431790